Saturday, January 29, 2011

Wednesday No Go

I am off the snow train Wednesday. This setup is all bad if you like
snow in CNJ. A low pressure is being modeled to move from the Western
US and cut up into the Great Lakes region. Anytime a low cuts to the
lake, it's not favorable. The ideal spot to be is on the western,
colder side of the low. Anytime you are on the eastern side,
temperatures will rise. The only hope of snow is to have a cold high
pressure anchored over E Canada to keep cold air over the region. Even
with that, it's only a matter of time before the warm air erodes the
cold air.

With that, I think a quick couple inches of snow will happen, and then
a transition to a mix and then the event will primarily be a rain
event.

Keep in mind, if temperatures actually get into the middle 40's, and
we get heavy rain, there will be serious flooding concerns with the
current snowpack.

Anyways, things can change, but for now, I am not on this snow train.

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