Thursday, December 29, 2011

Here Today, Gone Tomorrow

has been the story of the weather model longer range threats so far here at the conclusion of 2011. The other day we were talking about one run on the Euro model that depicted a good sized snow storm for the 3rd and 4th of January. That modeling has come and gone, and we are back to our pattern we have had for the past two months.

This time though, we look to have a couple nice days coming up this week and weekend before a cold front moves through next Monday. This cold front, has been on consistent runs of the Euro and GFS models. The frontal passage will lead to the coldest air of the season, and more than likely, the longest duration so far. Nighttime lows will be in the teens and highs will be in the low 30's. This would be for the period of Tuesday-Thursday.

While it will be nice and then cold, our chances of precipitation, as modeled, is scarce. There will be a couple passing clippers to our north, but for the most part, we will be dry. Our storm that was showing up for Tuesday and Wednesday is still modeled, just way out in the Atlantic where it will not effect us.


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