080
NOUS41 KPHI 241956
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-250756-
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
256 PM EST SUN JAN 24 2016
THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 34
HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION
IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN
SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE
ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PHI
********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
SNOWFALL OF
/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT
DELAWARE
...KENT COUNTY...
5 WSW DOVER 18.2 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WOODSIDE 17.2 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
HARRINGTON 14.8 824 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
DOVER 14.2 100 AM 1/24 WEST DOVER
WOODSIDE EAST 13.5 736 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
W DOVER 12.8 426 PM 1/23 DEOS
6 S DOVER 12.1 1018 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MAGNOLIA 12.0 500 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
HOUSTON 11.0 1100 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
FREDERICA 10.3 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
SMYRNA 9.7 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
2 W MILFORD 9.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...NEW CASTLE COUNTY...
TALLEYVILLE 16.3 833 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW CASTLE COUNTY AI 16.1 100 AM 1/24 ASOS
HOCKESSIN 14.8 830 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW CASTLE 13.1 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
JEFFERSON FARMS 12.8 832 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
PORT PENN 12.7 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
GREENVILLE 12.2 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
3 S NEWARK 12.1 530 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
CLAYMONT 12.0 827 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
WHITE CLAY CREEK 12.0 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
NEWARK 12.0 1100 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BEAR 12.0 749 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
PRICES CORNER 11.2 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
NEWPORT 10.5 1021 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
GLASGOW 10.1 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
...SUSSEX COUNTY...
LAUREL 8.8 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
6 W GEORGETOWN 7.8 900 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
ELLENDALE 7.4 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
4 SSE MILTON 7.0 700 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
SEAFORD 7.0 400 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
MILFORD 7.0 500 AM 1/23 WIND GUSTS TO 47 MPH
1 NNW ELLENDALE 5.4 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BETHANY BEACH 5.2 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
SELBYVILLE 5.0 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
DELMAR 5.0 700 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIDGEVILLE 4.9 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
STOCKLEY 4.4 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
MILTON 4.2 1128 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 SSE SEAFORD 4.0 700 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
4 E DELMAR 3.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
REHOBOTH BEACH 3.0 1100 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
LEWES 2.6 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
NASSAU 2.5 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
MARYLAND
...CAROLINE COUNTY...
NEWTON 16.0 800 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
6 WSW DENTON 10.7 700 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
...CECIL COUNTY...
CONOWINGO 19.5 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
ELKTON 15.3 811 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHILDS 15.2 1051 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
FAIR HILL 14.5 1120 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
WSW CHARLESTOWN 12.0 800 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
...KENT COUNTY...
BETTERTON 17.0 824 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHESTERTOWN 16.0 955 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...QUEEN ANNES COUNTY...
CENTREVILLE 16.0 930 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CRUMPTON 16.0 744 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
STEVENSVILLE 15.0 1132 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
GRASONVILLE 12.0 833 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...TALBOT COUNTY...
EASTON 13.0 852 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BOZMAN 13.0 1110 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEW JERSEY
...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
HAMMONTON 16.4 845 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BUENA 14.0 325 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 NNE BUENA VISTA TW 14.0 1100 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
ATLANTIC CITY INTL A 13.4 100 AM 1/24 ASOS
NORTHFIELD 10.0 1249 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
FLORENCE 22.5 557 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
CINNAMINSON 22.4 853 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 ENE MOUNT LAUREL T 20.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MOUNT HOLLY WFO 20.5 100 AM 1/24 NWS OFFICE
MOUNT LAUREL 20.5 1103 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOORESTOWN 20.3 829 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
DELANCO 20.0 907 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 SE MOORESTOWN TWP 18.0 833 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
5 WNW TABERNACLE TWP 16.4 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PEMBERTON 16.0 1156 AM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
NEW GRETNA 12.0 1130 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CAMDEN COUNTY...
BELLMAWR 22.0 1105 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
WINSLOW 21.0 813 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
GLOUCESTER CITY 20.0 300 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BARRINGTON 18.0 742 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
GLOUCESTER TWP 18.0 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
SOMERDALE 16.0 730 PM 1/23 CO-OP OBSERVER
1 WNW BERLIN TWP 15.0 1200 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
LINDENWOLD 13.9 1100 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BERLIN 13.0 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
WSW WILDWOOD CREST 11.3 750 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
GREEN CREEK 9.3 655 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 NNW WOODBINE 8.6 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
4 NNW MIDDLE TWP 8.0 530 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
3 S DENNIS TWP 7.5 745 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
BURLEIGH 7.0 630 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 7.0 806 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 WSW LOWER TWP 7.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
CAPE MAY 7.0 618 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
NEWPORT 13.5 1000 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
VINELAND 13.0 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CEDARVILLE 12.0 325 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 E VINELAND 11.8 815 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
DEERFIELD 11.3 814 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
UPPER DEERFIELD TWP 11.2 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MILLVILLE 11.0 814 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
SEABROOK 10.2 1030 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIDGETON 9.0 1025 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
DEPTFORD TWP 21.0 816 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
PITMAN 20.9 850 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
W PITMAN 18.7 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 W FRANKLIN TWP 17.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
TURNERSVILLE 17.5 630 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
WILLIAMSTOWN 14.5 700 PM 1/23 AMATEUR RADIO
FRANKLINVILLE 13.0 930 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 SSE WASHINGTON TWP 12.0 600 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MULLICA HILL 12.0 330 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CECIL 11.0 1030 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...HUNTERDON COUNTY...
WHITEHOUSE 29.6 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CALIFON 29.0 906 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
FLEMINGTON 28.3 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MOUNT JOY 28.0 758 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
3 SW LEBANON 27.7 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
E FLEMINGTON 27.5 630 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
CLINTON 27.0 510 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
WHITEHOUSE STATION 26.6 845 PM 1/23 BROADCAST MEDIA
4 N CLINTON TWP 26.5 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 NW CALIFON 25.9 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 NNE HOLLAND TWP 24.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 NNE GLEN GARDNER 24.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
READINGTON TWP 23.0 825 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
5 NE FLEMINGTON 22.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
FLEMINGTON JUNCTION 21.6 330 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 N LEBANON 20.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...MERCER COUNTY...
HAMILTON TWP 24.0 1101 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
HOPEWELL 23.0 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 NNW LAWRENCE TWP 22.5 630 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PRINCETON 22.5 820 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
LAWRENCEVILLE 22.4 1000 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
TRENTON 22.0 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNINGTON 20.5 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
TITUSVILLE 20.0 659 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 SSW LAWRENCE TWP 19.3 710 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
EWING 18.5 1245 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 NW HOPEWELL TWP 18.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 S LAWRENCE TWP 16.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
METUCHEN 27.7 930 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
EAST BRUNSWICK 24.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
SOUTH PLAINFIELD 23.0 605 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
PERTH AMBOY 23.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MONROE TWP 23.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 W NORTH BRUNSWICK 22.8 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 SW CRANBURY TWP 20.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
5 NE OLD BRIDGE TWP 20.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WOODBRIDGE 19.0 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MILLTOWN 18.0 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CRANBURY 17.1 1000 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
HIGHLAND PARK 17.0 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHEESEQUAKE 16.0 1100 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
WSW SOUTH RIVER 16.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...MONMOUTH COUNTY...
MANALAPAN 22.0 1030 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 NW RED BANK 22.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MILLSTONE TWP 21.8 200 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
NEPTUNE TWP 19.3 930 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
LEONARDO 19.0 200 PM 1/23 AMATEUR RADIO
ABERDEEN TWP 18.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
4 SSW HOWELL TWP 18.0 700 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
1 SSW FREEHOLD 17.0 330 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
NEPTUNE CITY 16.8 600 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
LONG BRANCH 16.0 1114 AM 1/24 1 MILE INLAND
...MORRIS COUNTY...
LONG VALLEY 30.0 847 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
WHARTON 30.0 802 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
SUCCASUNNA 30.0 916 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
MADISON 29.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
NETCONG 29.0 857 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
1 NW BOONTON 28.7 1000 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PARSIPPANY 27.0 920 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
BUDD LAKE 26.0 925 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
MORRISTOWN 25.3 918 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
GREEN POND 24.0 1106 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 ENE JEFFERSON TWP 23.7 400 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
RANDOLPH TWP 23.5 953 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BUTLER 22.5 805 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 NNE DENVILLE TWP 22.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MADISON BOROUGH 22.0 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
4 W WASHINGTON TWP 21.4 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 ESE ROXBURY TWP 21.0 900 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 ENE MINE HILL TWP 21.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
NNW ROCKAWAY 20.5 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 SW RANDOLPH TWP 19.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 ENE CHESTER TWP 19.2 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 E MOUNT OLIVE TWP 19.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MARCELLA 18.0 922 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...OCEAN COUNTY...
JACKSON TWP 21.0 822 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRICK TWP 20.0 1045 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 N BRICK TWP 19.1 1100 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 NNW JACKSON TWP 19.0 730 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
NEW EGYPT 19.0 746 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
WHITING 18.5 821 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
MANAHAWKIN 18.0 821 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
TOMS RIVER 17.3 822 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 S JACKSON TWP 17.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 SSE BERKELEY TWP 16.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BAYVILLE 16.0 821 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
5 ENE JACKSON TWP 15.5 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
4 NNW JACKSON TWP 14.0 830 AM 1/23 COCORAHS
7 NE MANCHESTER TWP 14.0 617 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
WARETOWN 13.7 804 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
NW PINE BEACH 13.5 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
6 E LACEY TWP 12.7 530 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
POINT PLEASANT 12.5 1030 AM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...SALEM COUNTY...
2 S PITTSGROVE TWP 14.0 500 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 NW WOODSTOWN 12.9 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
ELMER 12.1 823 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...SOMERSET COUNTY...
2 S BERNARDS TWP 30.0 1000 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
ENE SOMERVILLE 28.4 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BOUND BROOK 28.0 835 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BELLE MEAD 28.0 920 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
SOMERVILLE 27.4 622 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BERNARDSVILLE 27.0 1118 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
GREENBROOK TWP 25.0 724 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIDGEWATER TWP 24.5 1100 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 NW BRIDGEWATER TWP 24.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
5 NNW FRANKLIN TWP 24.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 NNW BERNARDS TWP 23.6 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 ESE BEDMINSTER TWP 23.2 1000 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WARREN TWP 23.0 917 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
5 ESE HILLSBOROUGH T 22.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 NNE MONTGOMERY TWP 22.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
4 ENE FRANKLIN TWP 21.5 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
HILLSBOROUGH 20.7 907 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BASKING RIDGE 20.0 1030 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
KINGSTON 18.5 945 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...SUSSEX COUNTY...
STOCKHOLM 16.0 557 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 SE HARDYSTON TWP 15.6 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 W ANDOVER TWP 15.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 SSW SPARTA TWP 15.1 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
SPARTA 15.0 600 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
HIGHLAND LAKES 14.7 200 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
VERNON 14.0 825 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 WNW MONTAGUE TWP 10.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 SW WANTAGE TWP 8.2 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WANTAGE 8.0 515 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...WARREN COUNTY...
HARMONY TWP 28.0 747 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 WSW LIBERTY TWP 24.6 500 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BLAIRSTOWN 24.4 730 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
HACKETTSTOWN 22.0 900 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 W HACKETTSTOWN 22.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
ALLAMUCHY 20.0 922 PM 1/23 FINAL REPORT.
2 S WHITE TWP 18.5 830 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PENNSYLVANIA
...BERKS COUNTY...
LAURELDALE 33.5 801 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
READING 32.0 748 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
SINKING SPRING 31.5 749 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
SEISHOLTZVILLE 30.0 858 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
1 SW BERNVILLE 26.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 NNW HAMBURG 26.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
5 WSW READING 25.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
ROBESONIA 24.5 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHURCHVILLE 24.5 849 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
2 ESE FLEETWOOD 24.0 822 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
HUFFS CHURCH 24.0 1102 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 E OLEY 22.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
5 SW ALBURTIS 20.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
GLENSIDE 19.0 918 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
3 SSW MOHNTON 18.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...BUCKS COUNTY...
PERKASIE 30.0 843 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
WEST ROCKHILL TWP 29.0 949 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
WASHINGTON CROSSING 27.0 930 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
RICHBORO 24.0 1103 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
WARMINSTER 23.3 846 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
FURLONG 23.0 115 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
LOWER MAKEFIELD TWP 22.0 1001 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
SPRINGTOWN 21.5 445 PM 1/23 CO-OP OBSERVER
BENSALEM 20.5 249 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 WSW PENNDEL 17.7 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MORRISVILLE 16.0 1031 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CARBON COUNTY...
1 NNE JIM THORPE 16.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
LAKE HARMONY 12.0 930 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...CHESTER COUNTY...
MALVERN 30.1 846 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
VALLEY FORGE 26.5 615 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
EAST VINCENT TWP 26.2 630 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
PHOENIXVILLE 26.0 752 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
1 SSW EAST NANTMEAL 26.0 900 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
CALN 25.5 555 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
EAST COVENTRY TWP 25.0 646 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
WEST CHESTER 25.0 931 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
WARWICK 24.4 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
DEVAULT 23.6 835 PM 1/23 DEOS
2 SE WEST CHESTER 23.5 730 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
W OXFORD 23.2 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 NE UNIONVILLE 23.0 810 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 SSE WEST CHESTER 22.5 1100 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
3 W WEST GROVE 22.0 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
EXTON 22.0 843 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
MARSHALLTON 22.0 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
3 SW CHADDS FORD 22.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 SE EXTON 20.4 400 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
COATESVILLE 20.3 855 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
THORNBURY TWP 19.0 1130 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
ATGLEN 18.9 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
LANDENBERG 18.5 452 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHESTER SPRINGS 18.1 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
NOTTINGHAM 16.0 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
KENNETT SQUARE 15.3 100 AM 1/24 DEOS
2 SW NOTTINGHAM 14.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
...DELAWARE COUNTY...
1 SW GARNET OAKS 23.5 801 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
BROOMALL 22.0 836 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
CHADDS FORD 21.5 950 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
ASTON ARMS 21.3 1105 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
UPPER DARBY TWP 21.0 935 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
SPRINGFIELD 20.0 750 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
...LEHIGH COUNTY...
CENTER VALLEY 32.0 1104 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
LEHIGH VALLEY INTL A 31.9 100 AM 1/24 ASOS
SALISBURY TWP 27.4 1130 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 ENE SCHNECKSVILLE 23.5 811 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
NEW TRIPOLI 22.0 800 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
...MONROE COUNTY...
STROUDSBURG 17.5 400 PM 1/23 PENNDOT
BARTONSVILLE 17.2 953 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
GILBERT 17.0 540 PM 1/23 PENNDOT
KUNKLETOWN 16.0 1210 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
4 W SAYLORSBURG 15.3 305 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
TOBYHANNA 14.0 741 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
7 NE EAST STROUDSBUR 10.8 900 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MOUNT POCONO 10.6 440 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
BLAKESLEE 8.5 939 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
STOWE 32.0 1104 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
EAGLEVILLE 31.0 748 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
LIMERICK 31.0 953 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
NORRISTOWN 30.0 820 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BRYN MAWR 29.0 850 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
GREEN LANE 28.3 857 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
NORTH WALES 28.0 844 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
GRATERFORD 27.2 1046 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
GILBERTSVILLE 27.0 1014 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
ROYERSFORD 26.7 517 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
KING OF PRUSSIA 26.1 1000 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 NNE POTTSTOWN 26.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
COLLEGEVILLE 26.0 600 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
2 NW BLUE BELL 25.7 904 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
MONTGOMERYVILLE 25.5 230 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
HARLEYSVILLE 25.0 1000 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
1 NNE COLLEGEVILLE 24.5 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WYNDMOOR 24.0 109 AM 1/24 PUBLIC
SOUDERTON 23.5 700 PM 1/23 COCORAHS
MAPLE GLEN 23.0 315 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
1 W LIMERICK 22.3 800 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
WYNNEWOOD 21.5 825 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
AMBLER 21.0 809 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
2 SSW PENNSBURG 21.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 SW HARLEYSVILLE 18.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
1 WSW NORTH WALES 16.0 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
GLASGOW 16.0 1104 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...
FORKS TWP 31.1 858 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
BUSHKILL TWP 30.4 630 PM 1/23 FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
BETHLEHEM 30.0 700 PM 1/23 METEOROLOGIST
PLAINFIELD TWP 28.0 1021 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
EASTON 27.2 845 AM 1/24 SOCIAL MEDIA
HELLERTOWN 27.0 830 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
WILLIAMS TWP 24.3 1100 PM 1/23 TRAINED SPOTTER
MARTINS CREEK 24.2 707 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
E MARTINS CREEK 24.2 700 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
2 NW BETHLEHEM 19.0 900 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PORTLAND 16.0 848 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
1 SE ROCKLEDGE 22.5 900 AM 1/24 COCORAHS
PHILADELPHIA INTL AI 22.4 100 AM 1/24 ASOS
PHILADELPHIA FIRE 78 22.3 742 PM 1/23 FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
PORT RICHMOND 20.0 611 PM 1/23 SOCIAL MEDIA
PHILADELPHIA FIRE 66 18.2 830 PM 1/23 FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
PHILADELPHIA FIRE 33 17.8 905 PM 1/23 FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
PHILADELPHIA OEM 17.1 945 AM 1/23 EMERGENCY MNGR
SOMERTON 16.0 315 AM 1/24 TRAINED SPOTTER
Monday, January 25, 2016
National Weather Service Philadelphia / Mt Holly Final / Actual Snowfall Accumulations
Here is the updated list for the entire storm:
Friday, January 22, 2016
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT- 1-2"/HR SNOWS MOVING IN
Special Weather Statement (New Jersey)
Jan 22, at 20:40 PM EST
Jan 24, at 10:00 AM EST
...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELMARVA PENINSULA AT 830 PM WILL BE MOVING NORTH INTO THE AREA BETWEEN NOW AND MIDNIGHT. THESE BANDS COULD PRODUCE SNOW AT THE RATE OF ONE OR TWO INCHES PER HOUR, RESULTING IN RAPID ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING...GUSTING TO NEAR 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND NEAR 30 MPH AT INLAND LOCATIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS, SO FOR SAFETY SAKE, STAY HOME IF YOU CAN.
Camden; Coastal Ocean; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington; Western Monmouth
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Jan 22, at 20:40 PM EST
Jan 24, at 10:00 AM EST
...BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW TO MOVE NORTH INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING...
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELMARVA PENINSULA AT 830 PM WILL BE MOVING NORTH INTO THE AREA BETWEEN NOW AND MIDNIGHT. THESE BANDS COULD PRODUCE SNOW AT THE RATE OF ONE OR TWO INCHES PER HOUR, RESULTING IN RAPID ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND BY MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL ALSO BE INCREASING...GUSTING TO NEAR 35 MPH ALONG THE COAST...AND NEAR 30 MPH AT INLAND LOCATIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS, SO FOR SAFETY SAKE, STAY HOME IF YOU CAN.
Camden; Coastal Ocean; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington; Western Monmouth
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January 22-24 2016 Storm Friday Morning Update
A quick morning update. Blizzard warnings have been issued for parts of the area from DC/Baltimore/Philly up to NYC. Other areas are in Winter Storm warnings. Don't get caught up in terminology, blizzard adds in some serious winds causing decreased visibilities. Both should be taken very serious. Flood warnings are also issued for coastal areas due to the complications from those strong winds and tidal flooding. This will be a VERY serious threat to the coast.
Snow will over spread the region tonight and get rather heavy towards morning. Tomorrow, heavy snow will rule the day. This is a very potent storm system. The severe weather outbreak along the Gulf states yesterday and lightning strikes was a prime indicator of this. That's a very good sign of a powerful system. As this storm is so dynamic, thunder snow will be a good bet around the region tomorrow. Already numerous places in KY and TN have reported such. Thundersnow will have to be a now-cast event tomorrow. The whole region will have the possibility.
In addition, my accumulations still look good. I am not into changing them an awful lot, and truth be told, I still very much like my map. Accumulations will vary though in those areas. There will be some very significant snow bands developing tomorrow that will spread snows 1-3"/hr under them. Some areas will get them, while some others will miss out. They will be moving throughout the day, so chances are you, at some point, will come in contact with one. Those will really drive up accumulations.
Last aspect, I mentioned coastal winds, but the winds will be bad over inland sections as well. Part of the blizzard warnings is a verification of winds at or exceeding 35mph for three hours. That's a lot of wind, and it will be like that for the majority of the day. Couple that with that thick wet snow and it's a recipe for disaster.
I will be back throughout the day in my Facebook page and Twitter pushing info out. Stay safe and enjoy!
*** BLIZZARD WARNINGS ISSUED ***
Jan 22, at 06:04 AM EST
Jan 24, at 10:00 AM EST
A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS, MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED, STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY...
.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT, BRINGING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS TO MUCH OF OUR AREA.
...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY...
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW, GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW RESULTING IN TIMES OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 14 INCHES, WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS INLAND. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS EVENING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST INCREASING LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. * VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL. THE SNOW SHOULD BECOME MORE WET FOR A TIME SATURDAY ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. SHOVELING MAY BE PROBLEMATIC FOR THOSE WITH PHYSICAL AILMENTS. SNOW MAY CLING TO WIRES AND TREES WHICH COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE ESPECIALLY AS SNOWFALL RATES DURING SATURDAY INCREASE TO 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES PER HOUR MOSTLY IN HEAVIER BANDS.
Eastern Monmouth; Mercer; Middlesex; Somerset; Western Monmouth
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
***BLIZZARD WATCH ISSUED***
Blizzard Watch (New Jersey)
Jan 21, at 10:37 AM EST
Jan 24, at 10:00 AM EST
A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...
...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY NIGHT THEN CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE ON SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS COULD PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SNOW MAY BE DRY AND FLUFFY AT THE START... BUT WILL BECOME WETTER AND HEAVIER AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS. SHOVELING MAY BE PROBLEMATIC FOR THOSE WITH PHYSICAL AILMENTS. SNOW MAY CLING TO WIRES AND TREES WHICH COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO INCREASING SNOW ACCUMULATION DURING THE EVENT.
Mercer; Middlesex; Somerset
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Jan 21, at 10:37 AM EST
Jan 24, at 10:00 AM EST
A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES. THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY DANGEROUS. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...
...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WITH HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 16 INCHES POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO NORTH OVERNIGHT ON FRIDAY NIGHT THEN CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE ON SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. * IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS COULD PRODUCE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SNOW MAY BE DRY AND FLUFFY AT THE START... BUT WILL BECOME WETTER AND HEAVIER AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS. SHOVELING MAY BE PROBLEMATIC FOR THOSE WITH PHYSICAL AILMENTS. SNOW MAY CLING TO WIRES AND TREES WHICH COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO INCREASING SNOW ACCUMULATION DURING THE EVENT.
Mercer; Middlesex; Somerset
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January 22-24 Storm Thursday Morning Update
Good morning everyone, here we are grinding down for the end of the week. In addition, we are looking for a rather significant winter storm to move into the area tomorrow night and lasting much of the weekend. A month ago, a storm like this was the last thing people were thinking about while air conditioners were cranking away. But alas, here we are. So, lets get caught up:
The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of NJ, DE and E PA. In addition, blizzard watches are issued for the metro areas around DC, Baltimore and NYC. Reading the daily briefing from Mt Holly, they mentioned the possibility of upgrading some areas to blizzard watches, but had some concerns about the wind aspect for the inland areas. They can always upgrade to warnings later. People hear the word blizzard and think massive snow. The definition of a blizzard per the NWS is a three hour period of winds greater than 35mph and visibility less than 1/4 of a mile in falling or blowing snow. Blizzard warnings do not mean more snow. In any case, here is the warning box and the latest amounts from NWS PHL/MtHolly:
Snow is looking to start around evening through the overnight hours from the south to north. Snow will gradually become moderate and then heavy. As our storm begins to intensify, we will then have to watch the mix line to see how far inland it moves. Most Nor'easter storms will have this mix line in our area, just depends how far inland it goes. This will have to be now-casted Saturday. In any event, if you do mix, it will not be for the entire event, you will eventually go back to heavy snow. For those areas that dont mix, you will have the max accumulations (and a much better shoveling experience). As of now, I think the mix line will make it into S NJ and coastal areas. We will have to watch it though as some models (The GFS in particular) pushes the mix line back to rt 95 for a prolonged period of time.
While there was generally very good model agreement earlier in the week, some really funky stuff has been going on. The NAM model has been spitting out tremendous amounts of precipitation, which it has been known to do. The GFS model has the mix line moving well inland and mixing being a very real possibility from Philly to the east. Not sure I buy into the GFS right now, as the Canadian model tends to overdue warm air, and even that has us primarily all snow. The EURO model is the southern most model, keeping us all snow, but really cutting off amounts to our NW.
There are a number of possibilities, and hopefully some of these things can be resolved today with the assistance of modeling. I have been talking over the past couple days about the upper atmosphere low pressures and where they develop and can "grab" the surface low pressure. When, where and how strong they are will be a driving force behind our forecast. As of now, they have us in a favorable spot for a slow moving, snow making storm.
The other aspect that will challenge accumulations is where the banding sets up. This is another aspect that will have to be now-casted on Saturday. Where these bands set up, those areas will really cash in on accumulations. As those bands setup, you will have areas of very heavy snow and you could go a couple miles away and just have light snow. In any case, at some point many reading this will fall under one of those bands so we should all have the luxury of experiencing it.
Coastal areas, I cannot stress enough about the threat of coastal flooding. Storm surge models are already showing 4-5 foot storm surge as the storm gets cranking and the winds start howling off the water inland. Couple that with a full moon phase and flooding with beach erosion will be a serious problem.
We have a very fluid and changing system coming. And, as always, I will try and stay on top of it and bring you the latest. I put out my accumulation map last night (no flaming, it was my first attempt). As of now, I am sticking with it.
Townerswxpage January 22-24 Storm Accumulations (Click)
The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of NJ, DE and E PA. In addition, blizzard watches are issued for the metro areas around DC, Baltimore and NYC. Reading the daily briefing from Mt Holly, they mentioned the possibility of upgrading some areas to blizzard watches, but had some concerns about the wind aspect for the inland areas. They can always upgrade to warnings later. People hear the word blizzard and think massive snow. The definition of a blizzard per the NWS is a three hour period of winds greater than 35mph and visibility less than 1/4 of a mile in falling or blowing snow. Blizzard warnings do not mean more snow. In any case, here is the warning box and the latest amounts from NWS PHL/MtHolly:
Snow is looking to start around evening through the overnight hours from the south to north. Snow will gradually become moderate and then heavy. As our storm begins to intensify, we will then have to watch the mix line to see how far inland it moves. Most Nor'easter storms will have this mix line in our area, just depends how far inland it goes. This will have to be now-casted Saturday. In any event, if you do mix, it will not be for the entire event, you will eventually go back to heavy snow. For those areas that dont mix, you will have the max accumulations (and a much better shoveling experience). As of now, I think the mix line will make it into S NJ and coastal areas. We will have to watch it though as some models (The GFS in particular) pushes the mix line back to rt 95 for a prolonged period of time.
While there was generally very good model agreement earlier in the week, some really funky stuff has been going on. The NAM model has been spitting out tremendous amounts of precipitation, which it has been known to do. The GFS model has the mix line moving well inland and mixing being a very real possibility from Philly to the east. Not sure I buy into the GFS right now, as the Canadian model tends to overdue warm air, and even that has us primarily all snow. The EURO model is the southern most model, keeping us all snow, but really cutting off amounts to our NW.
There are a number of possibilities, and hopefully some of these things can be resolved today with the assistance of modeling. I have been talking over the past couple days about the upper atmosphere low pressures and where they develop and can "grab" the surface low pressure. When, where and how strong they are will be a driving force behind our forecast. As of now, they have us in a favorable spot for a slow moving, snow making storm.
The other aspect that will challenge accumulations is where the banding sets up. This is another aspect that will have to be now-casted on Saturday. Where these bands set up, those areas will really cash in on accumulations. As those bands setup, you will have areas of very heavy snow and you could go a couple miles away and just have light snow. In any case, at some point many reading this will fall under one of those bands so we should all have the luxury of experiencing it.
Coastal areas, I cannot stress enough about the threat of coastal flooding. Storm surge models are already showing 4-5 foot storm surge as the storm gets cranking and the winds start howling off the water inland. Couple that with a full moon phase and flooding with beach erosion will be a serious problem.
We have a very fluid and changing system coming. And, as always, I will try and stay on top of it and bring you the latest. I put out my accumulation map last night (no flaming, it was my first attempt). As of now, I am sticking with it.
Townerswxpage January 22-24 Storm Accumulations (Click)
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
January 22-24 Storm Accumulations
First, lets get caught up where we are. The NWS PHL/Mt Holly has placed the area in a Winter Storm Watch. Watches are issued 48 hours in advance of a potential threat. As the event comes closer, I expect those watches to be upgraded to warnings. I would also not be surprised if we are upgraded into a blizzard warning (3 hours of 35mph winds/gusts and falling or blowing snow reducing visibility to less than 1/4 mile). In addition, winds will be howling along the coast. Winds will be blowing in off the ocean. Couple that with normal high tides and a full moon is a recipe for significant coastal flooding and beach erosion. This will be a very dangerous storm for coastal sections and inland.
Second, where are we going? Well, for days, the models have been showing a significant storm for a large area. This is still the case. We have a disturbance moving through the Rocky Mtns as I type and will spawn a low pressure system along the Gulf States. This low pressure system will track to the coastal waters off the NC coast. From here, there will be a upper level low pressure system which will close off and essentially "grab" the surface low pressure system off NC and keep it from moving out to sea. As a result, the surface low pressure will gradually make its way up the coast spreading precipitation from south to north. Precipitation will enter VA, NC in the morning hours and creep into DC/Baltimore during the early afternoon. Precipitation will enter our area Friday evening / night.
From here, our surface low pressure system will intensify and as it intensifies, winds will pick up and be rather gusty, especially along the coast. Snowfall rates will also intensify and could reach 1-2"/hour in the strongest bands. Where these bands set up will really help to increase snowfall accumulations. They will not set up everywhere, but anywhere from N VA through NYC are possible. The other aspect we will have to look at is the exact track. As with most major nor'easters, there is the threat of the dreaded mix line. This will be determined by how close the low tracks along the coast and how much warm air it can inject in. In any case, for those areas that do mix, as of now, I do not think it stays a mix all that long before going back to heavy snow. In addition, as this storm does intensify, I think some areas will also have a really good shot at some thundersnow. Thundersnow and the banding is not something that can be modeled days before, that will have to be now-casted during the event. There will be a VERY sharp cutoff to the north. We have seen this type of situation before and it will be very possible to drive 30 miles and go from 2" to 12" at the northern most reach of the storm. I think as of now, that area will be far NW NJ and NE PA. In addition, it appears that maybe S New England can get in on some moderate snows, but the rest of New England may not get much.
My very preliminary thoughts on amounts:
Winter Storm Watch Issued
Winter Storm Watch
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 321 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016 ...A MAJOR STORM WILL AFFECT THE AREA FROM LATE FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY... DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>023-026-027-PAZ060-070- 071-101>104-106-211000- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0001.160123T0000Z-160124T1500Z/ NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT- CAROLINE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN- CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN... ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON... PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN... MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON... CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST... READING...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD... WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN... NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 321 PM EST WED JAN 20 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...AND MARYLAND`S UPPER EASTERN SHORE. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 16 INCHES IN THE VICINITY OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR...8 TO 12 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...AND CENTRAL DELMARVA. LESSER AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DELMARVA WHERE A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN IS EXPECTED DURING THE EVENT. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY EVENING...PRIMARILY AFTER THE EVENING COMMUTE...THEN CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH INLAND WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH CLOSER TO THE COAST. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW 30S. * IMPACTS...SNOW MAY BE DRY AND PUFFY AT THE START, BUT WILL BECOME WETTER AND HEAVIER AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS. SHOVELING MAY BE PROBLEMATIC FOR THOSE WITH PHYSICAL AILMENTS. SNOW MAY CLING TO WIRES AND TREES WHICH MAY CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE DUE TO INCREASING ACCUMULATION DURING THE EVENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER && $$
January 22-24 Storm Wednesday Morning Discussion
Good morning everyone, here we are, one more step closer to the weekend. As we head into the weekend, the big discussion is about the impending storm. As of now, everything is still on for a significant storm poised to impact our area. As of now, I think snow breaks out over Richmond and Northern NC early morning Friday. This moves up into WV, DC and Baltimore Through the early afternoon. Snow will make it up to DE and just south of Philly during the evening and finally into C NJ late evening. As of now, it appears areas in VA up to the WV panhandle through DC and Baltimore stand the best chance for max accumulations. While I am not going to give out amounts yet, these areas are looking well over a foot. For our area, snow accumulations are very likely, possibly significant but we also have to look at some other factors.
Snow spreads over the region, we will then have to turn our attention to the system to find out how close it tracks to the coast. Models are showing this storm to crawl up the coast to an almost stand still off the DELMARVA Peninsula. How close it comes to the coast, and how rapidly it can deepen will determine how far inland the mix line and rain lines make it. Further off the coast, mix line wont make it as far inland, closer to the coast, more areas will be dealing with a mix or rain. There is an old saying though......."In order to have the best snows, you gotta be able to smell the rain" meaning, areas still cold enough, near the mix lines usually do good. Where this sets up will be key.
As stated, the storm will be a slow mover as it is "captured" by an upper level low. Where this takes place will ultimately be another factor on how far this storm makes it north, while having the best dynamics. As of now, this is poised to occur over VA, WV through DC and Baltimore. Philly and S NJ are towards the top of that area. With 2 full days to go, I would like to see another couple of model runs to see if that changes.
In any case, we are dealing with a system that is poised to drop a lot of precipitation. Determining how much falls as snow and the effects of the mix / rain lines will ultimately have the final verdict on total accumulations. Here is the updated precipitable water chart for the area through Monday. As you can see, that's a lot of water.
GFS
GFS model takes the storm to the S NC coastal waters and then brings the storm up the coast. This track, as modeled will introduce the mix line in our area (after a significant period of snow). It does appear though that much of the area from roughly 95 east stays frozen (sleet, freezing rain) and the only rain chances occur at the coast where the surface temperature goes above freezing. Areas roughly west of 95 would remain snow, and lots of it.
Canadian
Keeps the same idea as the GFS, but actually has the mixing period much briefer in areas east of 95. This would lead us to a greater total snowfall accumulation.
EURO
Yesterdays 12z run had a lot of people in a panic. It took a fairly substantial jump to the south. With the normal steadfast reliability of the model, a lot of people started looking as if this was the end of the storm. Here was yesterdays 12z, which left the heaviest amounts in Richmond up through WV, DC and Baltimore. Decent snows made it up to about 195 in C NJ, but that was it.
As you can see, while the better consensus is here, we still have a ways to go before nailing this down. For our area though, this is a very classic winter Nor'easter. We usually have the threat of the mix line in the vicinity. It does appear though that it will remain frozen.
The one definite I would like to pass on, regardless of the outcome of this storm, the coastal sections of NJ are in trouble. Very strong winds will be coming onto the coast from the open water pushing waters up onto the coast and into the back bays. In addition, high tides coupled with a full moon phase will spell disaster for coastal flooding. Now is the time to prepare down to the shore. Here is a graphic for modeled winds:
Ok, thats a quick and dirty look. More to come. Hoping to have a preliminary accumulation map out tonight, As always, updates will be flowing through the day!
Oh, one more thing, Jim Cantore is heading to DC...... that should tell you something.
Snow spreads over the region, we will then have to turn our attention to the system to find out how close it tracks to the coast. Models are showing this storm to crawl up the coast to an almost stand still off the DELMARVA Peninsula. How close it comes to the coast, and how rapidly it can deepen will determine how far inland the mix line and rain lines make it. Further off the coast, mix line wont make it as far inland, closer to the coast, more areas will be dealing with a mix or rain. There is an old saying though......."In order to have the best snows, you gotta be able to smell the rain" meaning, areas still cold enough, near the mix lines usually do good. Where this sets up will be key.
As stated, the storm will be a slow mover as it is "captured" by an upper level low. Where this takes place will ultimately be another factor on how far this storm makes it north, while having the best dynamics. As of now, this is poised to occur over VA, WV through DC and Baltimore. Philly and S NJ are towards the top of that area. With 2 full days to go, I would like to see another couple of model runs to see if that changes.
In any case, we are dealing with a system that is poised to drop a lot of precipitation. Determining how much falls as snow and the effects of the mix / rain lines will ultimately have the final verdict on total accumulations. Here is the updated precipitable water chart for the area through Monday. As you can see, that's a lot of water.
GFS
GFS model takes the storm to the S NC coastal waters and then brings the storm up the coast. This track, as modeled will introduce the mix line in our area (after a significant period of snow). It does appear though that much of the area from roughly 95 east stays frozen (sleet, freezing rain) and the only rain chances occur at the coast where the surface temperature goes above freezing. Areas roughly west of 95 would remain snow, and lots of it.
Canadian
Keeps the same idea as the GFS, but actually has the mixing period much briefer in areas east of 95. This would lead us to a greater total snowfall accumulation.
EURO
Yesterdays 12z run had a lot of people in a panic. It took a fairly substantial jump to the south. With the normal steadfast reliability of the model, a lot of people started looking as if this was the end of the storm. Here was yesterdays 12z, which left the heaviest amounts in Richmond up through WV, DC and Baltimore. Decent snows made it up to about 195 in C NJ, but that was it.
Scoots off the east coast with minimal impacts past 195 in C NJ
That all changed for this mornings 00z run. I had mentioned yesterday about wanting to wait until a majority of the system made it onto land to be fully sampled and have "good" data ingested into the model. Well, last night, the Euro took another step further north. While it went north, it continued the great hit for areas in VA, DC and Baltimore. For our area, it brought precipitation back in, but also has us flirting with a mix line. The mix line would limit accumulations. In any case, being two and a half days away from the event, we can work out most of those details later. Here is the newest 00z run.
moving up the coast instead of east (off the coast)
The one definite I would like to pass on, regardless of the outcome of this storm, the coastal sections of NJ are in trouble. Very strong winds will be coming onto the coast from the open water pushing waters up onto the coast and into the back bays. In addition, high tides coupled with a full moon phase will spell disaster for coastal flooding. Now is the time to prepare down to the shore. Here is a graphic for modeled winds:
Ok, thats a quick and dirty look. More to come. Hoping to have a preliminary accumulation map out tonight, As always, updates will be flowing through the day!
Oh, one more thing, Jim Cantore is heading to DC...... that should tell you something.
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
January 22-24th Storm Tuesday Morning Discussion
Good morning everyone! As many are waking up to one of the coldest mornings this season, most people are looking towards the end of the week, and deservedly so. I have been talking about the possibility of a significant storm for the end of the week for a couple days now. Yesterday's model runs still continue to show a significant storm for our area. Some very important steps will occur today and tonight as the main players of the storm setup will make their way into the lower 48. Currently, our storm and the associated energy with is, is located in the Eastern Pacific.
When the pieces of energy make it onshore, the data ingested will be better and a much more complete picture can be taken. Currently, we are relying on bouy data and data ingested from commercial airlines that are in the area.
The one thing we have going for us, is every model is showing a significant storm. Too many times in the past, we would have one or two models showing this, and we waited for the others to move towards it. Not this time. There are minor differences, but all are showing a significant storm. That by itself is reason to be optimistic, and begin the planning stages of your personal preparation.
Well, lets get to it. As stated, all models are showing a significant impact. There are some subtle differences though, and those are the things I am hoping resolve once we get better data samples once over land. To the model recap:
GFS
the 6z GFS brings our low pressure up close enough to where the area would flirt with a mix or changeover to sleet or freezing rain. This changeover would be short, but does show up on the model.
Sleet at hour 96 (1am Saturday)
The one thing we have going for us, is every model is showing a significant storm. Too many times in the past, we would have one or two models showing this, and we waited for the others to move towards it. Not this time. There are minor differences, but all are showing a significant storm. That by itself is reason to be optimistic, and begin the planning stages of your personal preparation.
Well, lets get to it. As stated, all models are showing a significant impact. There are some subtle differences though, and those are the things I am hoping resolve once we get better data samples once over land. To the model recap:
GFS
the 6z GFS brings our low pressure up close enough to where the area would flirt with a mix or changeover to sleet or freezing rain. This changeover would be short, but does show up on the model.
Sleet at hour 96 (1am Saturday)
Back to snow hour 102 (7am Saturday)
CANADIAN
The Canadian model appears to be in the camp of the GFS. This is off the 0z Tuesday model run and at the same point, hour 102 (1am Sat), would have the area over to a mix or change to sleet / freezing rain. It would turn back to heavy snow by 7am Saturday.
EURO
The Euro model is to weaker and more south than the other two. The Euro would keep our area as snow the entire time, with no changeover. This is due to the fact that it takes a more southern track and does not come up and hug the coast.
The GFS and Canadian models show a closer to the coast track due to its track. They both have a more northern track, and where the upper level low captures the storm, it brings it back towards the area. This happens on the Euro too, but further south. Over the next day or two, I will be watching to see exactly where the upper level low is forecast to form, and see if the models eventually can agree on that position. The track will be determined based upon that, leading to our eventual type(s) of precipitation.
Winds with this storm will be cranking. As the low pressure hits the coast and really strengthens, it will be contrasting a high pressure system in Canada and as the two battle, the winds will increase easterly off the Atlantic ocean. This will be devastating for coastal areas. Flooding will also be aided during high tides by a full moon which already has a higher than normal tide. If you have property down the shore, now is the time to prepare. Models are showing winds up to 60 mph right along the coast sustained. Inland, it will also be windy, but not to the extent of the shore. All areas will have the problem too of a heavy wet snow accumulating on trees and power lines. Mixed with the heavy winds, its a recipe for power outages.
One more thing, the HPC has released their view for the water equivelant maps on what will fall (if it was all water)....that's a lot of precipitation.
In any case, more to come over the next couple days!
Monday, January 18, 2016
January 22-24 Storm Monday Morning Discussion
First thing, all major models (GFS, EURO, and Canadian) still showing a very significant storm for our area. Timing is from Friday through Sunday morning. While all major models are showing a significant storm, they do vary on their track, strength and outcomes. Because of this, there is no sense in throwing out amounts or posting pretty snow maps......they are going to change 10 times up to the event. For now, know a significant storm is possible and preparations should start. Lets discuss the models and outcomes:
Over the next couple of days, I will be mentioning the models and their runs, for a brief overview of when they run and the times, here is the link: MODEL TYPE AND RUN TIMES (CLICK)
GFS
the Monday 0z GFS model run had an interesting solution which actually brings the low up close to the Jersey coast and would really limit our snowfall accumulation. An outcome like this would be a snow -> Mix/rain -> back to snow. Accumulations would really be limited. Biggest accumulations according to this model would be back around the PA/MD border where very heavy snowfall accumulations would fall
Then, the 6z run (most recent) brings the low over the Outer Banks of NC and then up further off the Jersey coast, brining the heaviest axis of snow more over the area. In fact, this model run has the low pressure crawling from the VA coast to the tip of Long Island very slowly over a 24 hour period, all while our area is getting pummeled with snow. This run would shift the heaviest access along route 95 including the major cities.
6 hours apart, and two different, distinct solutions, One of the reasons why forecasting amounts 5 days out is futile and silly.
Canadian
the 0z model run brings the low pressure from the NC/VA border up to Long Island, but keeps the heaviest axis of precipitation just NWof the rt 95 corridor. It does keep the low close enough to where the rain snow line would have to be monitored. It also drops a significant amount of precipitation, how much is snow will be the question.
EURO
While the other two models show a track from the VA coast up to Long Island, the Euro actually has the storm skirting along the Gulf States and then out to the SC/NC coastal border and from there up to the tip of Long Island. This would be a classic track for a rt 95 snow storm. This run would show a large swath of heavy snows through the major cities along rt 95.
Over the next couple of days, I will be mentioning the models and their runs, for a brief overview of when they run and the times, here is the link: MODEL TYPE AND RUN TIMES (CLICK)
GFS
the Monday 0z GFS model run had an interesting solution which actually brings the low up close to the Jersey coast and would really limit our snowfall accumulation. An outcome like this would be a snow -> Mix/rain -> back to snow. Accumulations would really be limited. Biggest accumulations according to this model would be back around the PA/MD border where very heavy snowfall accumulations would fall
Then, the 6z run (most recent) brings the low over the Outer Banks of NC and then up further off the Jersey coast, brining the heaviest axis of snow more over the area. In fact, this model run has the low pressure crawling from the VA coast to the tip of Long Island very slowly over a 24 hour period, all while our area is getting pummeled with snow. This run would shift the heaviest access along route 95 including the major cities.
6 hours apart, and two different, distinct solutions, One of the reasons why forecasting amounts 5 days out is futile and silly.
Canadian
the 0z model run brings the low pressure from the NC/VA border up to Long Island, but keeps the heaviest axis of precipitation just NWof the rt 95 corridor. It does keep the low close enough to where the rain snow line would have to be monitored. It also drops a significant amount of precipitation, how much is snow will be the question.
EURO
While the other two models show a track from the VA coast up to Long Island, the Euro actually has the storm skirting along the Gulf States and then out to the SC/NC coastal border and from there up to the tip of Long Island. This would be a classic track for a rt 95 snow storm. This run would show a large swath of heavy snows through the major cities along rt 95.
As you can, there is a spread of different ideas based upon the models. Over the next couple days, we are hoping to see some run to run consistency and then agreement between the models on the overall track and strength. Its going to be a fun week, hopefully with a great ending!
Sunday, January 17, 2016
Temps below freezing, icy conditions will be present
Special Weather Statement (New Jersey)
Jan 17, at 15:22 PM EST
Jan 17, at 19:00 PM EST
...ICY CONDITIONS TONIGHT...
ROADS AND WALKWAYS HAVE BECOME WET IN MUCH OF DELAWARE, NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY DUE TO THIS AFTERNOON`S SNOW. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. WATER ON UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL FREEZE, RESULTING IN ICY CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE GOING OUT THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT, BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. ICY PATCHES MAY NOT BE EVIDENT IN THE DARK, SO USE EXTRA CARE.
Atlantic; Atlantic Coastal Cape May; Camden; Cape May; Coastal Atlantic; Coastal Ocean; Cumberland; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Mercer; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington
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Jan 17, at 15:22 PM EST
Jan 17, at 19:00 PM EST
...ICY CONDITIONS TONIGHT...
ROADS AND WALKWAYS HAVE BECOME WET IN MUCH OF DELAWARE, NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY DUE TO THIS AFTERNOON`S SNOW. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE 20S TONIGHT. WATER ON UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL FREEZE, RESULTING IN ICY CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE GOING OUT THIS EVENING OR OVERNIGHT, BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. ICY PATCHES MAY NOT BE EVIDENT IN THE DARK, SO USE EXTRA CARE.
Atlantic; Atlantic Coastal Cape May; Camden; Cape May; Coastal Atlantic; Coastal Ocean; Cumberland; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Mercer; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington
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The Week Ahead for January 17, 2016
First thing, the storm potential I had mentioned earlier this week for today and tomorrow has moved close enough back into the area to maybe drop some snow showers this afternoon / evening. The noon NAM model shows a period of light snow mid afternoon through the evening. Looks like mainly S NJ up to about rt 195 will stand the best shot.
After that, we will have some cold air moving in for much of the week. Temperatures will struggle to make it to freezing for Monday and Tuesday. For Wednesday and Thursday high temperatures will make it to the mid 30's to 40 degrees.
The end of the week is really looking good for a potential storm. Both the GFS and EURO are showing a developing coastal storm, with the major differences being the timing. The GFS brings it in a bit earlier and a has a Friday into Saturday storm, while the Euro holds it back for the second half of the weekend. As of now, the main idea is that they are both showing a significant coastal storm!
GFS:
EURO:
Should be a fun week, with plenty of updates!
After that, we will have some cold air moving in for much of the week. Temperatures will struggle to make it to freezing for Monday and Tuesday. For Wednesday and Thursday high temperatures will make it to the mid 30's to 40 degrees.
The end of the week is really looking good for a potential storm. Both the GFS and EURO are showing a developing coastal storm, with the major differences being the timing. The GFS brings it in a bit earlier and a has a Friday into Saturday storm, while the Euro holds it back for the second half of the weekend. As of now, the main idea is that they are both showing a significant coastal storm!
GFS:
EURO:
Should be a fun week, with plenty of updates!
Tuesday, January 12, 2016
Snow Squall Update
Special Weather Statement (New Jersey)
Jan 12, at 19:06 PM EST
Jan 13, at 05:00 AM EST
...A DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL MOVING INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY...
* AT 657 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SNOW SQUALL...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MILLRIFT TO WESTTOWN TO NEAR FALLSTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THROUGH THE 8 PM THE SNOW SQUALL WILL MOVE INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY INCLUDING PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...AND WILMINGTON. * VISIBILITIES NEAR ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY FALL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH 9 PM EST INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...CAMDEN...WILMINGTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
NEWARK...EASTON...MIDDLETOWN...WEST CHESTER...MORRISTOWN...ELKTON...
SOMERVILLE...GLOUCESTER CITY...NEWTON...SOMERSET...EDISON...
CALVERT...BETHLEHEM...BENSALEM AND EAST BRUNSWICK. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND POTENTIALLY SLICK ROADS COULD LEAD TO ACCIDENTS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL THE SQUALL PASSES YOUR LOCATION. A RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID FORMATION OF BLACK ICE ON AREA ROADWAYS. BLACK ICE IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE AND ROADWAYS MAY APPEAR WET. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AROUND CURVES. ALLOW PLENTY OF STOPPING DISTANCE AND AVOID BRAKING SUDDENLY.
Atlantic; Camden; Cumberland; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Somerset; Southeastern Burlington; Warren; Western Monmouth
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Jan 12, at 19:06 PM EST
Jan 13, at 05:00 AM EST
...A DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL MOVING INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY...
* AT 657 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SNOW SQUALL...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MILLRIFT TO WESTTOWN TO NEAR FALLSTON MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THROUGH THE 8 PM THE SNOW SQUALL WILL MOVE INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY INCLUDING PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...AND WILMINGTON. * VISIBILITIES NEAR ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY FALL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH 9 PM EST INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...CAMDEN...WILMINGTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
NEWARK...EASTON...MIDDLETOWN...WEST CHESTER...MORRISTOWN...ELKTON...
SOMERVILLE...GLOUCESTER CITY...NEWTON...SOMERSET...EDISON...
CALVERT...BETHLEHEM...BENSALEM AND EAST BRUNSWICK. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND POTENTIALLY SLICK ROADS COULD LEAD TO ACCIDENTS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL THE SQUALL PASSES YOUR LOCATION. A RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID FORMATION OF BLACK ICE ON AREA ROADWAYS. BLACK ICE IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE AND ROADWAYS MAY APPEAR WET. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AROUND CURVES. ALLOW PLENTY OF STOPPING DISTANCE AND AVOID BRAKING SUDDENLY.
Atlantic; Camden; Cumberland; Eastern Monmouth; Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Somerset; Southeastern Burlington; Warren; Western Monmouth
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Snow Squall Moving In
Special Weather Statement (New Jersey)
Jan 12, at 18:08 PM EST
Jan 13, at 05:00 AM EST
...A DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
* AT 601 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HIAWATHA TO WYOMISSING TO NEAR BOONSBORO...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * VISIBILITIES NEAR ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY FALL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. * THE SNOW SQUALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM EST. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND POTENTIALLY SLICK ROADS COULD LEAD TO ACCIDENTS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL THE SQUALL PASSES YOUR LOCATION. A RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID FORMATION OF BLACK ICE ON AREA ROADWAYS. BLACK ICE IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE AND ROADWAYS MAY APPEAR WET. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AROUND CURVES. ALLOW PLENTY OF STOPPING DISTANCE AND AVOID BRAKING SUDDENLY. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH 8 PM EST INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...ALLENTOWN...READING...WILMINGTON...NEWARK...EASTON...
WEST CHESTER...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE...NEWTON...LEHIGHTON...
MONTAGUE...MOUNT POCONO...SOMERSET...CALVERT...BETHLEHEM...
BRIDGEWATER...EWING...NORRISTOWN AND POTTSTOWN.
Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Salem; Somerset; Warren
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Jan 12, at 18:08 PM EST
Jan 13, at 05:00 AM EST
...A DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL MOVING INTO SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
* AT 601 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HIAWATHA TO WYOMISSING TO NEAR BOONSBORO...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * VISIBILITIES NEAR ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES WILL BE POSSIBLE. * NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY FALL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR. * THE SNOW SQUALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE DELAWARE VALLEY INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM EST. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF YOU MUST TRAVEL INTO OR THROUGH THIS DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALL. RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND POTENTIALLY SLICK ROADS COULD LEAD TO ACCIDENTS. CONSIDER DELAYING TRAVEL UNTIL THE SQUALL PASSES YOUR LOCATION. A RAPID DROP IN TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO THE RAPID FORMATION OF BLACK ICE ON AREA ROADWAYS. BLACK ICE IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE AND ROADWAYS MAY APPEAR WET. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AROUND CURVES. ALLOW PLENTY OF STOPPING DISTANCE AND AVOID BRAKING SUDDENLY. LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED THROUGH 8 PM EST INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...ALLENTOWN...READING...WILMINGTON...NEWARK...EASTON...
WEST CHESTER...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE...NEWTON...LEHIGHTON...
MONTAGUE...MOUNT POCONO...SOMERSET...CALVERT...BETHLEHEM...
BRIDGEWATER...EWING...NORRISTOWN AND POTTSTOWN.
Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Salem; Somerset; Warren
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Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016
...STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>025-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-131000-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WI.Y.0001.160112T2030Z-160113T1000Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...
OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...
POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...
MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
330 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY.
* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH.
* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
* IMPACTS...SCATTERED TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE. DIFFICULTY
DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. REDUCED VISIBILITIES MAY OCCUR
WITH ANY REMAINING SNOWFALL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE
SECURED
Monday, January 11, 2016
Frontal Passage Tomorrow Night
High temperatures will make it into the low 40's tomorrow before a cold front will push through and drop our temperatures through the 30's and into the 20's tomorrow night. With the cold front passage, our area will have a chance for some rain / snow showers. No accumulation is expected, but don't be surprised to see some snow flakes flying around tomorrow night. Areas in NE PA and NW NJ have the best chance of getting around 1" of snowfall.
After the frontal passage, temperatures on Wednesday will struggle to reach freezing. Thursday and Friday will be a bit warmer and we will then have a chance of some rain for the early part of the weekend. Still watching for our first significant chance of some snow, which does not appear to be heading our way this week.
Hazardous Weather Outlook from the NWS (north of 195 in NJ):
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 412 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-122115- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER- EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- LOWER BUCKS- 412 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SNOW SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA INTO FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLIPPERY TRAVEL IS OVER THE POCONOS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. $$
Wednesday, January 6, 2016
A Look Ahead
Over the last two days Mother Nature has reminded us that it is still winter. After a record warm December, January has been the opposite. A cool start to January, with the past two days being well below normal. In my last post, I was eyeing this pattern change around the change to the new year. While that has happened, we have still not measured our first snowfall yet. When will that be coming? Lets discuss.
While the past two days have been cold, we will once again transition to a near normal to above normal couple of days. We will have a shot at some rain this Friday with highs in the 40's and then again on Sunday with highs near 50. After Sunday, I really think we go full bore, lock and load, colder pattern which will also usher in our first chances at some quality snow chances. It does appear that once we get to Monday, we will be locking in for the week at or below normal temperatures. I also think by the end of next week, we will have a couple chances in the near future at some snow chances.
I expect first some shots of Clippers to move through, reinforcing cold air and then some solid chances of some storms entering the Southwest and moving along the southern states. Any one of those storms will have the potential to produce a significant storm through the Northeast. So, lets keep our fingers crossed and get ready for a hopefully wild second half to winter.
While the past two days have been cold, we will once again transition to a near normal to above normal couple of days. We will have a shot at some rain this Friday with highs in the 40's and then again on Sunday with highs near 50. After Sunday, I really think we go full bore, lock and load, colder pattern which will also usher in our first chances at some quality snow chances. It does appear that once we get to Monday, we will be locking in for the week at or below normal temperatures. I also think by the end of next week, we will have a couple chances in the near future at some snow chances.
I expect first some shots of Clippers to move through, reinforcing cold air and then some solid chances of some storms entering the Southwest and moving along the southern states. Any one of those storms will have the potential to produce a significant storm through the Northeast. So, lets keep our fingers crossed and get ready for a hopefully wild second half to winter.
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