What a quick burst of snow last night. Numerous accidents and road closures occurred due to the snow first melting on the roadways and then freezing due to the plummeting temperatures. That combination is always a recipe for disaster.
With that gone, we can now focus on Friday. The Euro has been steadfast in a moderate event for the area. The GFS has been waffling between a moderate storm and snow showers. The NAM model goes out 84 hours, and we are just getting to that timeframe. What I have seen on the NAM at hour 84 two runs in a row, looks to be it wants to give us a moderate hit as well. What the models are going to be focusing on is a disturbance that comes through the area on Wednesday. While the disturbance will not bring us any precipitation, it is going to be a major factor in setting the storm up on Friday. How the models show this will ultimately lead to their respective outcomes.
As of now, still looking more likely than not to have a storm on Friday. The usual questions still looking to be answered....track, intensity, changeover (if any) etc. There will be more to come on this!
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