The four letter word showing up on the latest model runs

Thats right, a snow event is showing up on the GFS model for Saturday and Saturday evening for the NJ area. Now, this has shown up on the past two runs of the GFS model, and there is not too much agreement with this, so I will continue to watch this. As of now, there would be a chance of snow Sat. Other than that, a cold front pushed through today, and will keep temps tomorrow in the mid 40s. temps back up to the 50's Wednesday and Thursday before the temps begin to fall following a cold front Wednesday Night. With that cold front passage, we will be looking at a nice amount of rain. From here, the next storm will be on Saturday and we will see what that brings. Next model run will be in around 2300 tonight. I will also review some other model runs to see if there is any concurring data for Saturday. More to come!

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 30

1967 - A record November snowstorm struck the Washington D.C. area. It produced up to a foot of snow in a 12 hour period. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 29

1969 - Dense fog along the Jersey Turnpike resulted in a chain reaction of vehicle collisions during the morning rush hour. A propane truck jacknifed and was struck by a trailor truck, and other vehicles piled into the fiery mass. (David Ludlum)




Corey Towner
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Cold Train Leaving The Station

This time next week, we may well be settled into cold temperatures. Yesterdays cold front that moved through was a small step down to the cold temperatures. There is a ridge building in the midwest, which will be setting the stages for the cold front next week that will lead to our colder temperatures next weekend. Depicted on the photo below is the ridgeing in the midwest and the driving force in our temperature drop. Notice the swirl in Souther California? That is a low pressure system driving the change! Pretty nice visual on it in the midday water vapor loop!



Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 28

1921 - New England was in the midst of a four day icestorm, their worst of record. Ice was more than three inches thick in many places following the storm, and property damage was in the millions of dollars. Northern New England received heavy snow with more than two feet reported in some areas. Overnight freezing rains continued through the day at Worcester MA while the wind increased to a gale. Streets become impassable even on foot, and whole towns were plunged into darkness without communication. The storm caused 20 million dollars damage to power lines, telephone lines and trees. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

Cold Air on the Way

With rain and wind expected today, associate with a cold front, the process will begin to lower our temperatures. This cold front, in addition to two more next week, will set the stage for much below normal temperatures in time for next weekend. With the lower temperatures, and a return to an active storminess period, we will be looking for our first credible chances of snow since last March! More to come next week!

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 27

1883 - Fire engines were called out in New York City and New Haven, CT, as a result of the afterglow of the sunset due to vivid red ash from the Krakatoa Volcano explosion in August. (The Weather Channel)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 26

1896 - Snow and high winds hit the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi Valley, with a Thanksgiving Day blizzard across North Dakota. The storm was followed by a severe cold wave in the Upper Midwest. The temperature at Pokegama Dam MI plunged to 45 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)
Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 25

1950 - A great storm hit the Northern and Central Appalachians with snow and high winds. Winds reached hurricane force along eastern slopes of the Appalachians, with gusts to 100 mph at Hartford CT, 110 mph at Concord NH, and 160 mph at Mount Washington NH. Heavy rain also hit the eastern slopes, with eight inches reported at Slide Mountain NY. The western slopes were buried under heavy snow. The storm produced record snowfall totals of 27.7 inches at Pittsburgh PA, and 36.3 inches at Steubenville OH. The snow, and record cold temperatures, resulted in 160 deaths. (25th-26th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

Cold Air To Make Its Way In

Thanksgiving day is approaching and with that, changes are expected with our weather. Turkey Day will be a nice day, with highs approaching 60 degrees! Rain will move in Turkey Night with the passage of a cold front. This cold front will drop temps into the 40's for highs on Friday. Temps will continue to be in the upper 40's to low 50's for highs until another storm moves in early next week. That storm and the associated cold front will once again drop temperatures down. The storm for Thursday Night may even bring chances of snow to areas N&W of central Jersey, mainly Poconos, NW NJ and possibly parts of CT. The storm next week will be a rain maker for Jersey, but some of those other areas may see some mixing and/or wet snow. More to come

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 24

1812 - Southwesterly winds of hurricane force sank ships and unroofed buildings at Philadelphia and New York City. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

Rain Moving In

Rain will be moving in associated with a weak low pressure system off the coast of the carolinas. Rain will continue through tonight and clear out tomorrow. Looks like the next shot of precip comes in associated with a cold front around turkey day. This cold front will usher in the first step along the stairway to colder weather. Stay tuned
Captain Corey Towner
Robbinsville Division of Fire
Station-(609) 259-7814
Mobile-(609) 977-9818
Fax-(609) 259-3869
ctowner@robbinsville-twp.org
http://twitter.com/coreytowner

For those of you who may have missed it: Hurricane Schwartz Winter Forecast

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 23

1989 - Low pressure tracking across the Carolinas brought heavy rain to parts of the Southern Atlantic Coast Region for Thanksgiving Day, and blanketed the Middle Atlantic Coast States and southern New England with heavy snow. The storm produced up to nine inches of snow over Long Island NY, and up to 14 inches over Cape Cod MA, at Yarmouth. Totals of 4.7 inches at New York City and 6.0 inches at Newark NJ were records for Thanksgiving Day, the 8.0 inch total at Providence RI was a record for any given day in November, and the 6.5 inch total at Strasburg CT was a record for the month of November as a whole. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 22

1989 - Strong northerly winds produced squalls along the shore of Lake Michigan, with heavy snow in extreme southeastern Wisconsin. Milwaukee WI received nine inches of snow, and in Racine County there were more than one hundred automobile accidents. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)(www.weatherforyou.om)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

Pattern Change Coming?

All indications are the current pattern we are in with lows in the 40's and highs in the 50s and 60s is going to change. The modeled change is looking to be a gradually step down process beginning around Thanksgiving (which is less than a week away). The first shot will be bringing us to around normal (highs around 50 and lows in the 30's). Around the time we change months, from November to December, we could be looking at another step down in terms of cold weather. This step down will put us below normal for a period of time still undetermined. These are all steps in the right direction if you like cold weather and chances of snow. More to come on this!

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 21

1798 - A four day storm was in progress in the northeastern U.S. The storm dropped a foot of snow on New York City and New Haven, and as much as three feet in Maine and New Hampshire. The snowstorm ushered in a long and severe winter, in some places the ground remained covered with snow until the following May. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 20

1989 - Low pressure brought thunderstorms and high winds to the northeastern U.S. There were 193 reports of damaging winds with thunderstorms in New York State, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Tornadoes touched down near Seaside Park NJ and McAlevys Port PA. Winds with thunderstorms gusted to 92 mph at Poughkeepsie NY, and reached 94 mph at Newburgh NY. High winds in the Washington D.C. area, gusting to 73 mph, resulted in one death. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

Showers for today and tomorrow

showers will be intermittent through the afternoon and night. Precipitation will move out tomorrow morning.

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 19

1981 - An unusually early snowstorm struck the Twin Cities of Minnesota, with as much as a foot of snow reported. The weight of the heavy snow caused the newly inflated fabric dome of the Hubert Humphrey Metrodome in downtown Minneapolis to collapse and rip. (The Weather Channel)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 18

1955 - An early season cold snap finally came to an end. Helena, MT, experienced 138 consecutive hours of subzero temperatures, including a reading of 29 below zero, which surpassed by seven degrees their previous record for the month of November. Missoula MT broke their November record by 12 degrees with a reading of 23 below zero, and Salt Lake City UT smashed their previous November record of zero with a reading of 14 below. Heavy snow in the Great Basin closed Donner Pass CA, and total crop damage from the cold wave amounted to eleven million dollars. (David Ludlum)(www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 17

1927 - A tornado cut a seventeen mile path across Alexandria and southeastern Washington, DC, injuring 31 persons. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded. A waterspout was seen over the Potomac River ninety minutes later. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)(weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

LEONID METEOR SHOWER.......TONIGHT

If you are up tonight between 330am-530am, keep an eye to the sky. The Leonid Meteor shower will take place with a peak performance of 30-50 per hour. Experts say to let your eyes adjust for 15 minutes, and then at least give the performance 30 minutes. The showers come in bunches and could produce some lulls that will try your patience.....good luck!

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History November 16

1958 - More than six inches of snow fell at Tucson, AZ. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) (www.weatherforyou.com)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

This Date In Weather History

1987 - Thunderstorms spawned twenty-two tornadoes in eastern Texas, Louisiana and Oklahoma. A tornado moving out of northeastern Texas killed one person and injured ninety-six others around Shreveport LA causing more than five million dollars damage. Tornadoes in Texas claimed ten lives, and injured 191 persons. A tornado caused more than nineteen million dollars damage around Palestine TX. Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes in Mississippi and seven in Georgia the next day, and thunderstorms in southeastern Texas produced wind gusts to 102 mph at Galveston, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Bay City, killing one person. There were a total of forty-nine tornadoes in the south central U.S. in two days. The tornadoes claimed eleven lives, injured 303 persons, and caused more than seventy million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

Corey Towner
twitter.com/coreytowner

INDIAN SUMMER TO CONTINUE

Those who love the warm weather, your in luck. Through next weekend, it looks like highs will consistently be in the upper 50's to low 60's every day. Monday Night looks the coldest with a low in the mid 30's. Little or no precipitation this week. Enjoy the Indian Summer! Weather models are hinting at a potential pattern change around the end of November or beginning of December.

Noreaster'

It appears that some coastal flooding will be taking place along the
jersey shore through tomorrow am. The culprit of this is the remnants
of hurricane ida which passed through the gulf of mexico and the SE
US. Expect the rains and winds to continue through tomorrow am. This
combined with easterly winds and high wave heights will cause moderate
coastal flooding and beach errosion.

--
Sent from my mobile device

Corey Towner
coreytowner@gmail.com
(609) 614-0404
http://twitter.com/coreytowner
http://townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/

Remants of IDA

Today, remnants of IDA will be moving through the area. Expect showers and a cool day to prevail. Rain should move out tonight. Showers will linger through the next couple days with temps in the 50's and cloudy conditions. Sunday is looking like the best day, sunny and highs in the lower 60's.

Thank You To All The Veterans!

Tropical Storm IDA

Well, it appears we are hours away from landfall from Tropical Storm IDA. IDA was a category 2 Hurricane yesterday, but has since been downgraded. IDA is topping out with 70mph winds. The main story of the tropical system will be the rains. Parts of the southeast will be pummeled with rains. It also appears that this storm will pass to the east of New Orleans sparing that city from another debacle.

Week of 11/8-11/14

Looks like a nice week of weather coming up this week. Will be a tail of two halves this week. Sunny and mild the first half (in the 60's), and then a switch to more seasonable weather around Veterans Day(50's). Looks to be dry

Remember Nov. 11 is Veterans Day, thank a Veteran!