8/25/2011 Hurricane Irene AM Update

Wow, it appears we are setting the stage for a down right devastating hurricane. Model guidance has really trended west. Some, going as far inland as Central PA. Here is the graphic depicting storm tracks based on different models. Quite a bit further west than last night. Here is the graphic:

This is going to set the stage for potentially devastating floods, major power outages and significant storm surge at the shore. Also remember, if you are on the east side of the storm, your potential for a tornado is also greatly increased. It has been some time this area has been hit by a storm like this (actually, prior to me being born). Graphic on rain amounts from Hydrological Prediction Center (this also includes todays tstorms, but you get the idea):

While there is still some time for this track to change, time is getting limited, and the closer we get, the margin of error decreases. Today will be very important day in terms of modeling because we should get a better sampling of data. I have been harping this for the past couple posts. NWS offices have already sent a memo out increasing the number of weather balloon launches in the Northern and Western states. Not sure if the Canadian Weather service is doing the same or not.

Here is the 5 day track and some other graphics:

More updates to come!