Snow has pushed into Southern NJ and is making a push north. Precipitation is moving almost due north (which is a good thing, if you like snow). One thing for sure, it appears that the storm is really intensifying off the NC coast, evident in thunderstorm development showing up on radar. What needs to be watched now is obviously where the storm tracks, but also the speeds. There is a chance this thing could stall, and dump a heavy amount of snow over an area. Where exactly that happens, we will have to watch where that sets up. I also mentioned about thundersnow last night, which is becoming very evident and plausible today. In fact, the Storm prediction Center has placed a high likely hood of mesoscale banding to set up shop over NJ. See link:
Mesoscale banding is where intense snowfall rates will set up on the average of 1-2" per hour, and is the best likely hood of where thundersnow can develop.
Another thing to look at, the winds will really begin to crank this afternoon and night. This will create near zero visibility, considerable amounts of blowing and drifting snow and wide scale power outages. Please prepare yourselves should the power be lost for an extended period of time.
I am still thinking 10-16" statewide, 16" in the areas where the heavy snow banding sets up.
Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com
twitter.com/coreytowner
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