***TORNADO WATCH CONTINUES UNTIL 11:00PM***

Tornado Watch (New Jersey)
Feb 24, at 19:31 PM EST
Feb 24, at 23:00 PM EST

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TORNADO WATCH 28 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IN DELAWARE THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL DELAWARE KENT IN NORTHERN DELAWARE NEW CASTLE IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE SUSSEX IN MARYLAND THIS WATCH INCLUDES 5 COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND CAROLINE CECIL KENT QUEEN ANNE`S TALBOT IN NEW JERSEY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY MERCER IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER SALEM IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA BERKS IN SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA BUCKS CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY PHILADELPHIA THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ATLANTIC CITY...CAMDEN...

CENTREVILLE...CHERRY HILL...CHESTERTOWN...DENTON...DEPTFORD...

DOVER...DOYLESTOWN...EASTON...ELKTON...GEORGETOWN...GLASSBORO...

HAMMONTON...MEDIA...MILLVILLE...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...

NORRISTOWN...OCEAN CITY...PENNSVILLE...PHILADELPHIA...READING...

TRENTON...WEST CHESTER AND WILMINGTON.

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Atlantic; Burlington; Camden; Cape May; Cumberland; Gloucester; Mercer; Salem

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Corey

coreytowner@gmail.com

***TORNADO WATCH ISSUED***

Tornado Watch (New Jersey)
Feb 24, at 15:20 PM EST
Feb 24, at 23:00 PM EST

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TORNADO WATCH 28 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EST FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER MERCER SALEM

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Atlantic; Burlington; Camden; Cape May; Cumberland; Gloucester; Mercer; Salem

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The Wild Week Ahead

Over the next week we will have quite the roller coaster in the weather world. Already this week, we had snow to rain and then ending with a severe thunderstorm warning. We went from single digit temperatures to the mid 50's in the span of a day, back down into the 30's. The look ahead looks just as crazy.

Temperatures are back into the 30's today and that will continue through the rest of the week thanks to a passing cold front. Then, this weekend looks very warm.....and more importantly, dry. Temperatures will be in the upper 50's. This weekend will be a very nice reminder of whats to come in the coming months. The warmth will be short lived though as we will then focus our attention to a rather active stormy period of weather.

You have probably heard the rumors of a big storm next week. The rumors are true, there will be a storm. However, the exact details will be far from ironed out. This will be a very complex setup that will involve a number of moving parts.

First player, we will be watching a clipper that will move through to our north Sunday Night. This will also drag a cold front through the region, bringing an end to our mild weekend. How much cold air filters in and how far the cold front advances will be a driving force on the setup for the following, more potent storm. The cold front will help to establish a trough over the eastern states, just in time for a disturbance to form over the Gulf states. as the disturbance rounds the bottom of the trough, a low pressure center will develop and tap into some Gulf moisture. Where this low forms and where it travels will ultimately determine the size and track of our storm.

Meanwhile, we will also be tracking another disturbance moving across the Great Lakes which will be a reinforcing shot of cold air. So, while our low pressure is strengthening, how far down that cold air disturbance makes it will determine the storm track and ultimately our type and amount of precipitation.  As you can see, this is a very complex and fragile setup. If one of the moving pieces moves too slow or too fast, or doesn't setup as modeled it will have a profound effect on the outcome. Over the next 2-3 days, the models will waffle back and forth. Don't take anything verbatim over the next couple of days. Some model runs you will have pretty snow maps, others you will not. We have to see how this all plays out starting Sunday Night.

So yes, a storm is likely. Where it exactly sets up is a guessing game as of now. As always, I will continue to update. Once we get past the next two days of cooler air, enjoy the weekend! The roller coaster will be in full effect starting Saturday!

***SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING ISSUED***

Severe Thunderstorm Warning (New Jersey)
Feb 16, at 12:29 PM EST
Feb 16, at 13:15 PM EST

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THERE IS LITTLE TO NO LIGHTNING WITH THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

MERCER COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...

GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...

ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

EAST CENTRAL SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

SOUTHERN OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

BUCKS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

EASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 115 PM EST * AT 1228 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROYERSFORD TO ELMER TO NEAR LAUREL LAKE...AND MOVING NORTH AT 75 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

PHILADELPHIA...TRENTON...CAMDEN...VINELAND...ATLANTIC CITY...

MILLVILLE...GLOUCESTER CITY...CUMBERLAND...CHERRY HILL...

BENSALEM...EVESHAM...MOUNT LAUREL...EWING...NORRISTOWN...CHESTER...

WILLINGBORO...DEPTFORD...VOORHEES...MEDFORD AND WEST DEPTFORD.

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Atlantic; Burlington; Camden; Cumberland; Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Ocean; Salem

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*** WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE AREA NOW ***

Winter Weather Advisory (New Jersey)
Feb 15, at 05:36 AM EST
Feb 15, at 22:00 PM EST

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A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATION...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. A LIGHT GLAZE OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL BEGIN MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATER THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO RAIN DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

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Camden; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Western Monmouth

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***WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MERCER COUNTY AND NW IN NJ***

Winter Weather Advisory (New Jersey)
Feb 14, at 15:12 PM EST
Feb 16, at 02:00 AM EST

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A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN BY LATE MORNING MID MORNING MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN MONDAY EVENING. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO RAIN BY TUESDAY MORNING. EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY COLD, IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STEADY OR CONTINUE TO RISE MONDAY NIGHT. * MAIN IMPACT...THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND AROUND 0.25 INCHES OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

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Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Somerset; Sussex; Warren

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***WINTER STORM WARNINGS DROPPED IN S NJ AND REPLACED WITH ADVISORIES***

Winter Weather Advisory (New Jersey)
Feb 09, at 04:28 AM EST
Feb 10, at 06:00 AM EST

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A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE... POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE... OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FALL AT A MODERATE RATE AT TIMES ESPECIALLY LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL THROUGH TONIGHT...INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. THE ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES. REMEMBER... BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES TEND TO BECOME SLIPPERY FIRST. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

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Atlantic; Atlantic Coastal Cape May; Camden; Cape May; Coastal Atlantic; Coastal Ocean; Cumberland; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington

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Tuesday February 9 2016 Monday PM Update

As of now, watches that were issued earlier have been upgraded to warnings for much of NJ (South of 195), NE MD, SE PA and N DE. Advisories for NJ have been posted for 195 and north in NJ.

As I mentioned this morning, this will be a long duration event (Tonight through Wednesday morning). The problem is, this will not be a constant snowfall. This will be a prolonged period of light snow with some periods of moderate snows. The moderate snows will be driven by banding that will set up associated with the inverted trough I had mentioned in my morning update. This trough, as modeled now will makes its way from around the DC/Baltimore area up through NE MD, SE PA to S NJ. In this area, that will be the areas that have the greatest accumulations. As of now, here is the NWS PHL/MtHolly's snowfall map:

Snow showers will develop late this evening throughout the region and continue through the morning hours. Much of the day tomorrow, we will have light snow showers falling. There could even be some breaks in the snow as the day progresses. The trough that we are looking to have develop will have to be something that is now-casted tomorrow during the day.Per the models, most of the day will be the light snow falling, and our best chance for accumulating snowfall will be tomorrow afternoon through the evening hours. Much of the snow will fail to accumulate on the roadways during the daytime hours. It wont get going until the sun starts setting, coinciding with the heavier precipitation. Take away message as of now, for our area, evening rush will be worse than the morning rush. Its going to be a fun day tomorrow tracking this!

Oh, and once this pushes out, get ready for some brutal cold for the weekend! Temperatures are looking downright brutal!  

***WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NJ NORTH OF 195***

Winter Weather Advisory (New Jersey)
Feb 08, at 15:22 PM EST
Feb 10, at 06:00 AM EST

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A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE, POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE, OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, A SURFACE TROUGH WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM IT AND THIS SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS FEATURE SETS UP WILL DETERMINE THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FALL AT A MODERATE TO HEAVY RATE AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. THE ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES. REMEMBER, BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES TEND TO BECOME SLIPPERY FIRST. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...DROPPING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 20S LATER TONIGHT, THEN RISING TO AROUND FREEZING FOR A TIME TUESDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

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Eastern Monmouth; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Somerset; Western Monmouth

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***WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SOUTH OF 195 in NJ, SE PA, NE MD AND N DE***

Winter Storm Warning (New Jersey)
Feb 08, at 15:22 PM EST
Feb 10, at 06:00 AM EST

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A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS AT TIMES. USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED ROAD SURFACES. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE, POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE, OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...

.AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REDEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, A SURFACE TROUGH WILL EXTEND WESTWARD FROM IT AND THIS SHOULD BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR HEAVIER SNOWFALL. THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS FEATURE SETS UP WILL DETERMINE THE AXIS OF THE HEAVIER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO FALL AT A MODERATE TO HEAVY RATE AT TIMES TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL AFFECT TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. THE ROAD CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DETERIORATE DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL RATES. REMEMBER, BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES TEND TO BECOME SLIPPERY FIRST. * VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S LATE TONIGHT, THEN AROUND FREEZING DURING TUESDAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

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Atlantic; Camden; Cape May; Cumberland; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Ocean; Salem; Southeastern Burlington

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***WINTER STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SE PA AND S NJ***

Winter Storm Watch (New Jersey)
Feb 08, at 03:54 AM EST
Feb 10, at 04:00 AM EST

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A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...FAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT AND MAY BECOME MODERATE OR HEAVY ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA. THE SNOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE MODERATE OR HEAVY FOR A PERIOD EITHER TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY ALSO MIX WITH RAIN CLOSER TO THE COAST AND IN THE DELMARVA...WHICH COULD CUT DOWN ON TOTALS. * IMPACTS...SNOW MAY IMPACT TRAVEL LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...INCLUDING THE RUSH HOUR COMMUTES. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S.

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Atlantic; Camden; Cape May; Cumberland; Gloucester; Northwestern Burlington; Salem; Southeastern Burlington

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Tuesday Feb 9th Morning Update

One storm, just off the coast is moving NE into New England. Parts of New England will really be getting hit hard with a foot plus. For us, coastal areas may have a period of light snow, and maybe a couple flurries around inland, but nothing significant. Very close though, as evident on the current radar:

Things do get interesting for our area tonight and tomorrow through Wednesday. Another disturbance will be moving in and will bring with it some light snow. Light snow will be around much of the day tomorrow into the overnight and possibly through Wednesday morning. A general light event will be on tap with this event. 

What will have to be watched will the development of a band of heavier snows that will be capable of dropping between 4-8" depending on where it sets up. This event is known as a Norlun trough (A Good Explanation Here (Click). As of now, this is being modeled to show up over Southern NJ up to Central NJ. As a result, NWS PHL/MtHolly has issued the following watches. Its a strange map, but there best forecast on where the Norlun trough sets up:

As of now, NWS PHL/MtHolly has the following accumulations noted for Tonight through Wednesday:

These troughs can change, and this will definitely be followed throughout the day into tomorrow. Could be an interesting day tomorrow. More to come.

Monday Through Wednesday

Back to more normal temperatures and tracking down two storm threats. For today, a low pressure system is gathering off the Carolina coast. This storm will slide north just off the Jersey Coast, keeping the precipitation confined to the Atlantic Ocean. This will be a Long Island and New England storm. As that pushes north and east, Tuesday a second disturbance will move from the Great lakes and redevelop off the eastern seaboard. This storm looks to keep a threat of a long duration of light to moderate snow over the area. Tough to pin point exactly where he highest amounts will be as we will be dependent upon where the heaviest band of moderate precipitation sets up. As of now, the favored areas on models have been SE PA and Southern to Central NJ. Keep in mind as well, there is some model agreement on placement of this between the 6z NAM model and GFS, while the EURO has about 1-2" back towards the area. Even the placement agreement between the NAM and GFS, they still differ on amounts, with the GFS showing more. As of now, keep in mind that for Tuesday into Wednesday we will more than likely have some light snow flying for much of the time, amounts to be determined. More to come.

***WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED***

Winter Weather Advisory (New Jersey)
Feb 04, at 15:27 PM EST
Feb 05, at 10:00 AM EST

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A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER

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...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, AND NORTHERN DELAWARE. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES, WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ON UNPAVED SURFACES. * TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN, BUT AS TEMPERATURES FALL OVERNIGHT THE RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. * IMPACTS...SNOW WILL IMPACT THE FRIDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AND COULD CAUSE SLICK SPOTS, MAINLY ON SECONDARY ROADWAYS AS WELL AS ON SIDEWALKS. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO IN THE MID 30S.

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Camden; Gloucester; Hunterdon; Mercer; Middlesex; Morris; Northwestern Burlington; Salem; Somerset

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February 5 2016 Surprise Event

The heavy rains moved through the region yesterday, and the associated cold front has pushed through today. As this was going on yesterday, models began keying in on another disturbance that will ride up along the cold front that will be situated off the East Coast. Initially, this was poised to be an event that would scrape the coastal areas and maybe bring some snow showers further inland. In successive model runs, the trend has spread the precipitation field back to the west and beefed up the amount of precipitation. As of now, it looks like we could have a nice surprise waiting for our Friday morning commute This will not be a long lasting event. In fact, it will probably end during the late morning, and the sun may be out by the afternoon. 

What we are looking at: temperatures have been warm. The will begin dropping steadily down tonight into the upper 30's as rain pushes in during the late evening hours. Temperatures will also continue to fall and the rain will transition over to snow during the very early morning hours and last through the morning rush. As mentioned, the warm temperatures will more than likely keep accumulations to grassy surfaces and colder areas. If we can get some more intense snowfall rates, maybe then we will have some accumulations on the streets. In any case, snow will fall, but more than likely this will just be a pretty scenery event. For the most part for western areas, a general coating to 2" may fall....coastal areas may get a little more depending on when they changeover. 

There have been a number of significant developments with this event over the past 24 hours, so maybe some more surprises are coming, but this is my latest thinking. Once this passes, we will focus our attention on some much colder air next week, with a couple chances at some snow. More to come.