The end of Autumn is here! Tomorrow starts the beginning of Winter. It has felt anything like the start of winter, and that really looks to continue. We are in a horrible pattern to lock in any cold air let alone have any snow. Chances will still be there, but for the upcoming holiday season, it looks like it will remain mostly wet. Thursday-Friday will feature some rain. Moving towards the weekend holiday there was a storm showing up on the Euro model, which was a thread the needle storm to begin with, and last nights midnight run showed little precipitation. Now, is this a hiccup or is it ingesting bad data? You can look at other models to find that answer. The GFS model was showing no storm at all this week and had it sliding off the SE coast. This morning, the early morning run shows a storm coming up from the Gulf of Mexico and riding up the coast hitting the area later in the day Christmas Day. Now, whats the reason for the changes? We will have to wait and see for the subsequent runs and see whats going on.
Usually a storm coming out of the Gulf of Mexico would be a good thing, but going back to the pattern, it would support a fast moving storm that would be in and out in no time. Still, any snow on Christmas day would be cool to see.
In any case, uncertainty lays ahead. More to come!
Happy Hanukkah to all my Jewish followers!
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