Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Snow Threat 12/5

Well, after digesting last nights model runs, it may be time to start taking a serious look at the snow threat for Saturday. Below is a depiction from one model, the GFS model, of the projected outcome (click on picture to see NJ). In no way do I think we will get a foot of snow, but this was one projection. this is also only one model, so take that with a grain of salt. The other models do show a low pressure off the coast, but much further to the east, grazing the coastline. With that, there are still a number of other variables that need to be looked at. #1, and most important, we need to monitor the cold front and associated low pressure that will be moving through Thursday. Depending on speed, strength and movement of that system will have a lot to be said about the final outcome this Saturday. Anyways, I will be watching it, and it is a threat.

Historically, December 5th has also been a good day for snow in the 2000's. We have gotten snow on this date approx 75% of this decade!




Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

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