Weekend Update

Wow, all models have kept the storm supressed over the SE United States (NC, SC, S VA). Looks like it may be time to throw the towel in on this one. I iwll wait until tomorrow night to definetly raise the white flag....getting close though.

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

Weekend Storm Update

Models during the day have shown a supressed system which was pushed south by a strong polar vortex (acting as a block) from the storm pushing north. The nightime models have really slowed the storm down, and as a result, have started a north trend. Could this be due to the polar vortex's strength being overestimated or just a result of the storm slowing down and phasing with a distrubance over the midwest? This is the question that will have to be answered. My gut instinct says this will continue to trend north. Model runs will be important in the next 48 hours to see the path the storm will take. Models today have shown no precipitation over the area. It has also pushed back the start time to Saturday. More to come.

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

All Aboard, Snow Train In Station!

Looks like a return to winter is upon us. After 60 dgeree weather, things will be going downhill. We will have a cold front or two pressing through over the next couple of days, and then towards the end of the week, we bringback the mention of snow.

I am a bit excited already! All major weather models are showing a storm. There are some differences between them, but they are in fairly good agreement. At this time frame, that is good news if you like snow. Usually you will have one or two models hinting at it, and others showing different solutions. This is a great sign.

What we are looking at is a artic frontal boundary that will stretch across the region around Friday and then a low pressure system will develop and ride along the front. This low pressure looks to be taking shape in the Gulf of Mexico and then off the North Carolina coast. From there, how that low tracks will determine the magnitude of the storm.

I will be updating daily now, as the snow threat has me a bit excited! The snow train is in the station, engines engaged and boarding passengers!

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

Cold Front Pushing Through

Look out, over the next hour, and small, but robust line of storms will push through. This is the cold front associated with this mornings rain. This will usher in colder air, and is the pattern changer that will likely lead to the wintry conditions at the end of the week....watch out for the wind gusts and torrential rain with this line!





Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

Rain Today, Pattern Change, Snow End Of The Week?

rain still on track today, although start time has been pushed back until late evening (5-7pm). Heavy rain and thunderstorms (yes, tstorms) look to be present in the early morning hours tomorrow. Heavy rain and possible flooding will mark the rush hour tomorrow.

A cold front pushes through tomorrow evening and temps tumble. This will usher in a new pattern and a return towards more wintry conditions. Highs for the week will be in the 30s.

Next shot of snow looks to be the end of the week with a chance of a significant storm. More to come with that later!

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

Flooding Possible

Lots of rain moving in for Tomorrow. Starting around noon, expect moderate to Heavy rains, and by Monday morning, we could be looking at on the order of 2" of rain for the area. Sunday evening into the night also looks like there is a good potential for thunderstorms. These storms will be triggered by an advancing cold front.

Tonight and tomorrow

it appears the mix bag of precip will stay surpressed to our south overnight meaning we will only have a small chance of precip to be falling in the am. The further south you go, the better chance of hitting some stuff falling from the sky. This should come as good news for those of you who planned on having a messed up rush hour tomorrow

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

End of the week slop

while we have been enjoying some mild weather, this looks to be a thaw between two cold punches. In the near future, our weather will turn back towards a colder regime. In the meantime, we have a system moving through the midwest which will move into the area tomorrow night. Precipitation starts out as rain, and then as an associated cold front works through, it will transition to frozen precipitation overnight Thursday. Expect snow, sleet and freezing rain when you wake up Friday morning. There is a chance for some light accumulations, in the range of a coating to an inch. Give yourself some extra time if your driving.

MAJOR EARTHQUAKE

An major earthquake measuring at least 7.0 has struck Port Au Prince, Haiti. The quake happened early evening tonight and the true extent of the damage is not known. Reports of a hospital that has collapsed and numerous other buildings are down. No doubt, there will be a massive loss of life and a very chaotic scene is unfolding.

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

WOW

Here is a great National Geographic documentary on the Superstorm of 93...... awesome video, and definetely worth your time.....especially those weather lovers!

http://www.hulu.com/watch/104087/national-geographic-specials-storm-of-the-century

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

Some Snow Tonight

Looks like a clipper type event coming through tonight. Snow looks to start between 1am and 3am and will continue through mid morning. Snowfall amounts across central jersey look to be on the order of 1-3"

Expect a coating on the roads and all surfaces by the time you wake up in the morning. There is a chance for a brief intensification of the storm when it hits the coast, so we could find the amounts toward the high end if that happens and throws enough moisture back our way.
Once ti passes, cold weather remains! Next major storm chance looks to be coming around MLK day.

Next Storm

This winter, the story so far has been a storm every weekend. Starting back with the 19th/20th snowstorm, that was followed up on the following Friday and Saturday with the Christmas rain which was followed up by the slop we had this past New Years Eve and day. Well, this trend looks to continue. Models are showing a very potent storm settling in for next weekend. This does have a potential to be a decent storm if they models are correct. If being the key word....I will still watch it, but its looking promising. In any case, up until then, highs in the 30s and lows in the teens. It will be dry this week as well.

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner