Friday, October 28, 2011

Still Not Gung Ho For Central NJ

A significant early season storm is bearing down on the area. The proverbial kitchen sink will be thrown at us, and in many areas, records could be broken. We are dealing with a complex storm which is moving into place this evening. Rain will overspread the area tonight. Tomorrow, the storm will be developing along the eastern shore and this is where things get tricky. the snow part of the equation will come into play depending on how fast and deep the storm can develop. For areas north and west of the cities and I-95, you are looking sweet! There will be significant snows that fall from Reading through the Poconos to the I287 area of NY through Central CT. Areas closer to the coast will be largely dependent on elevation and falling into the heavier bands of precipitation.

The heavier bands that move through will change rain over to snow, and then back to rain. Generally, unless this storm really bombs out and can get some serious cold air into the area, I am generally thinking about an accumulation of slush around the area. Once you move further north and west into the elevation, your amounts will go up. There will be areas which get hammered, and a couple miles away will have nothing. A sharp gradient of accumulations will exist from east to west. For those areas who get heavily impacted, downed trees will be the biggest issue. The snow that falls will resemble cement and the snow will stick to EVERYTHING! Trees will get weighed down fast and power lines will come down. Extended power outages will be the norm for those areas. Remember Buffalo a couple years ago? Here is a video of that storm on Friday the 13th of October, 2006:

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