Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Models gone wild

the upcoming event is going to be very interesting. If you remember how I spoke about Miller "B" storms being the hardest to predict, they are. And this storm will be as every bit difficult. The present storm going on now moves out tomorrow. That low pressure does not move that far away. meanwhile a low pressure system is moving through Texas. The Texas lp will reform off the NC coast on Thursday and move North. Meanwhile, another low pressure moves in from the great lakes region/Ohio valley. The thinking is, all 3 of these low pressures merge into one and create a long duration event. There is great potential here for a very dangerous situation. The problem is, with all these variables, where does it end up taking shape? That will have to be ironed out tomorrow. There are very real possibilities of seeing 2" of snow or 20" of snow. The real dangerous part about this is the real outcome will not be known until the storm is here, that's what it will come down to with all these variables. For now, I am thinking precipitation starts on thursday as rain and quickly switches to snow. It will snow through the evening and night with upwards f 4-8" for central jersey.

A reminder, winter storm watches are posted for wed night thru Friday.

Corey Towner
townersweatherpage.blogspot.com/
twitter.com/coreytowner

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